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Policy Analysis

PolicyEngine

Price Control Implementation Details

Important Clarification: Throughout this analysis, price controls apply to the menu/sticker price (pre-sales-tax), consistent with:

Example: $7 Beer Price Ceiling

ComponentAmount
Maximum menu price$7.00Price control applies here
+ NYC sales tax (8.875%)+$0.61
= Consumer pays$7.61
- Sales tax to government-$0.61
- Excise taxes-$0.074
= Stadium receives$6.85

Implication: When we analyze a “$7 ceiling,” the stadium receives only $6.85 after taxes, creating an even tighter constraint than the headline $7 suggests.

This convention matches international minimum alcohol pricing (Scotland, Wales) and US retail price regulation precedent.

Price Controls

Price Ceiling: $7

A $7 price ceiling would be a binding constraint (below optimal $13.87).

Effects:

MetricCurrent ($13.87)With $7 CeilingChange
Consumer beer price$13.87$7.00-$6.87 (-50%)
Stadium receives$11.41$6.35-$5.06 (-44%)
Total beers sold39,70091,604+51,903 (+130.7%)
Stadium profit$3.43M$3.00M$-0.43M (-12.4%)
Consumer surplus$11.3M$11.7M+$0.4M (+3.9%)
Externality cost$0.2M$0.4M+$0.2M (+130.7%)
Social welfare$14.5M$14.3M+$-0.2M (+-1.3%)

Annual impacts (81 games):

Winners:

Losers:

Price Ceiling: $8

Less restrictive than $7 ceiling:

Effects relative to $7 ceiling:

Price Floor: $15

Non-binding (above optimal $13.87), minimal effects.

Beer Ban

Complete prohibition of alcohol sales:

MetricImpact
Stadium revenue-$2.0M/game
AttendanceMay decrease 5% (complementarity)
Externality costs-$158k (eliminated)
Consumer surplusDecreases (no beer option)

Deadweight Loss

Price controls create deadweight loss (economic inefficiency):

DWL=SWoptimalSWcontrolledDWL = SW_{optimal} - SW_{controlled}

For $7 ceiling:

The positive net reflects that current equilibrium has underpriced externalities.

Pigouvian Taxation

Alternative to price controls: tax to internalize externalities.

Optimal Additional Tax

tPigovian=MEC=$4.00$1.30=$2.70/beert_{Pigovian} = MEC = \$4.00 - \$1.30 = \$2.70/beer

Effects:

Pigouvian Tax vs Price Ceiling

Policy

Consumer Price

Consumption

Stadium Profit

Gov Revenue

Efficiency

Current

$13.87

39,700

$3.43M

${{ baseline_tax_revenue_k }}k

Baseline

$7 Ceiling

$7.00

91,604

$3.00M

${{ ceiling7_tax_revenue_k }}k

DWL from binding constraint

Pigouvian Tax

${{ pigouvian_consumer_price }}

28,500

$2.1M

${{ pigouvian_tax_revenue_k }}k

Most efficient

Pigouvian tax is more efficient:

Policy Recommendations

  1. First-best: Add $2.70/beer Pigouvian tax

    • Internalizes external costs

    • Raises $8.7M/season for NYC

    • Economically efficient

  2. Second-best: Price floor at $15

    • Reduces consumption and externalities

    • No revenue for government

    • Stadium keeps higher margin

  3. Avoid: Price ceiling below $10

    • Large stadium revenue loss

    • Increases externalities

    • Consumer surplus gain offset by external costs

  4. Consider: Hybrid approach

    • Moderate tax (+$1.50) + earlier cutoff (6th inning)

    • Balances efficiency and feasibility