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Policy Analysis

PolicyEngine

Price Control Implementation Details

Important Clarification: Throughout this analysis, price controls apply to the menu/sticker price (pre-sales-tax), consistent with:

Example: $7 Beer Price Ceiling

ComponentAmount
Maximum menu price$7.00Price control applies here
+ NYC sales tax (8.875%)+$0.61
= Consumer pays$7.61
- Sales tax to government-$0.61
- Excise taxes-$0.074
= Stadium receives$6.85

Implication: When we analyze a “$7 ceiling,” the stadium receives only $6.85 after taxes, creating an even tighter constraint than the headline $7 suggests.

This convention matches international minimum alcohol pricing (Scotland, Wales) and US retail price regulation precedent.

Price Controls

Price Ceiling: $7

A $7 price ceiling would be a binding constraint (below optimal $12.51).

Effects:

MetricCurrent ($12.51)With $7 CeilingChange
Consumer beer price$12.51$7.00-$5.51 (-44%)
Stadium receives$11.41$6.35-$5.06 (-44%)
Total beers sold46,48892,178+45,690 (+98.3%)
Stadium profit$3.42M$3.11M$-0.31M (-9.0%)
Consumer surplus$11.4M$12.0M+$0.6M (+5.3%)
Externality cost$0.2M$0.4M+$0.2M (+98.3%)
Social welfare$14.7M$14.8M+$0.1M (+0.8%)

Annual impacts (81 games):

Winners:

Losers:

Price Ceiling: $8

Less restrictive than $7 ceiling:

Effects relative to $7 ceiling:

Price Floor: $15

Non-binding (above optimal $12.51), minimal effects.

Beer Ban

Complete prohibition of alcohol sales:

MetricImpact
Stadium revenue-$2.0M/game
AttendanceMay decrease 5% (complementarity)
Externality costs-$158k (eliminated)
Consumer surplusDecreases (no beer option)

Deadweight Loss

Price controls create deadweight loss (economic inefficiency):

DWL=SWoptimalSWcontrolledDWL = SW_{optimal} - SW_{controlled}

For $7 ceiling:

The positive net reflects that current equilibrium has underpriced externalities.

Pigouvian Taxation

Alternative to price controls: tax to internalize externalities.

Optimal Additional Tax

tPigovian=MEC=$4.00$1.18=$2.82/beert_{Pigovian} = MEC = \$4.00 - \$1.18 = \$2.82/beer

Effects:

Pigouvian Tax vs Price Ceiling

Policy

Consumer Price

Consumption

Stadium Profit

Gov Revenue

Efficiency

Current

$12.51

46,488

$3.42M

$55k

Baseline

$7 Ceiling

$7.00

92,178

$3.11M

$109k

DWL from binding constraint

Pigouvian Tax

$15.33

28,500

$2.1M

$114k

Most efficient

Pigouvian tax is more efficient:

Policy Recommendations

  1. First-best: Add $2.82/beer Pigouvian tax

    • Internalizes external costs

    • Raises $10.6M/season for NYC

    • Economically efficient

  2. Second-best: Price floor at $15

    • Reduces consumption and externalities

    • No revenue for government

    • Stadium keeps higher margin

  3. Avoid: Price ceiling below $10

    • Large stadium revenue loss

    • Increases externalities

    • Consumer surplus gain offset by external costs

  4. Consider: Hybrid approach

    • Moderate tax (+$1.50) + earlier cutoff (6th inning)

    • Balances efficiency and feasibility