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Technical appendix

Derivation of optimal labor supply

Consider a worker with quasilinear isoelastic preferences:

U(C,h)=Cψh1+1/ε1+1/εU(C, h) = C - \frac{\psi \, h^{1+1/\varepsilon}}{1+1/\varepsilon}

subject to the budget constraint C=w(1τ)h+vC = w(1-\tau)h + v, where ww is the wage, τ\tau is the marginal tax rate, hh is hours worked, and vv is a lump-sum transfer.

Substituting the budget constraint:

U=w(1τ)h+vψh1+1/ε1+1/εU = w(1-\tau)h + v - \frac{\psi \, h^{1+1/\varepsilon}}{1+1/\varepsilon}

The first-order condition with respect to hh:

Uh=w(1τ)ψh1/ε=0U_h = w(1-\tau) - \psi \, h^{1/\varepsilon} = 0

Solving for hh:

h(τ)=(w(1τ)ψ)εh^*(\tau) = \left(\frac{w(1-\tau)}{\psi}\right)^\varepsilon

This confirms that labor supply is increasing in the net-of-tax wage w(1τ)w(1-\tau) with constant elasticity ε\varepsilon.

Proof of the DWL formula

Setup

A worker perceives τ^=τ+δ\hat{\tau} = \tau + \delta where δ\delta is the misperception error. The worker chooses labor to maximize utility under the perceived rate:

h(τ^)=(w(1τ^)ψ)εh(\hat{\tau}) = \left(\frac{w(1-\hat{\tau})}{\psi}\right)^\varepsilon

But utility is realized at the true rate τ\tau:

U(τ,h(τ^))=w(1τ)h(τ^)+vψh(τ^)1+1/ε1+1/εU(\tau, h(\hat{\tau})) = w(1-\tau)h(\hat{\tau}) + v - \frac{\psi \, h(\hat{\tau})^{1+1/\varepsilon}}{1+1/\varepsilon}

Second-order Taylor expansion

Define DWL(δ)=U(τ,h(τ))U(τ,h(τ^))\text{DWL}(\delta) = U(\tau, h^*(\tau)) - U(\tau, h(\hat{\tau})). Since hh^* maximizes U(τ,)U(\tau, \cdot), the first-order term vanishes by the envelope theorem, and:

DWL(δ)12Uhhh=h(Δh)2\text{DWL}(\delta) \approx -\frac{1}{2} U_{hh}\big|_{h=h^*} \cdot (\Delta h)^2

Computing UhhU_{hh}:

Uhh=ψεh1/ε1U_{hh} = -\frac{\psi}{\varepsilon} h^{1/\varepsilon - 1}

At the optimum, ψ(h)1/ε=w(1τ)\psi (h^*)^{1/\varepsilon} = w(1-\tau), so ψ=w(1τ)(h)1/ε\psi = w(1-\tau) \cdot (h^*)^{-1/\varepsilon}. Substituting:

Uhhh=w(1τ)εhU_{hh}\big|_{h^*} = -\frac{w(1-\tau)}{\varepsilon \, h^*}

Computing Δh\Delta h:

Δh=h(τ^)h(τ)=(w(1τδ)ψ)ε(w(1τ)ψ)ε\Delta h = h(\hat{\tau}) - h^*(\tau) = \left(\frac{w(1-\tau-\delta)}{\psi}\right)^\varepsilon - \left(\frac{w(1-\tau)}{\psi}\right)^\varepsilon

For small δ\delta, linearizing:

Δhεh1τδ\Delta h \approx -\frac{\varepsilon \, h^*}{1-\tau} \cdot \delta

Combining:

DWL(δ)12w(1τ)εh(εh1τ)2δ2=12εwhδ21τ\text{DWL}(\delta) \approx \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{w(1-\tau)}{\varepsilon \, h^*} \cdot \left(\frac{\varepsilon \, h^*}{1-\tau}\right)^2 \delta^2 = \frac{1}{2} \varepsilon \, w \, h^* \cdot \frac{\delta^2}{1-\tau}

Expected DWL

If δN(0,σ2)\delta \sim N(0, \sigma^2), then E[δ2]=σ2E[\delta^2] = \sigma^2 and:

E[DWL]12εwhσ21τ\boxed{E[\text{DWL}] \approx \frac{1}{2} \varepsilon \, w \, h^* \cdot \frac{\sigma^2}{1-\tau}}

Dividing by earnings whw h^*:

E[DWL]earnings12εσ21τ\frac{E[\text{DWL}]}{\text{earnings}} \approx \frac{1}{2} \varepsilon \cdot \frac{\sigma^2}{1-\tau}

Comparative statics

The formula E[DWL]/earnings=12εσ2/(1τ)E[\text{DWL}]/\text{earnings} = \frac{1}{2}\varepsilon\sigma^2/(1-\tau) yields immediate comparative statics:

ParameterEffect on DWLIntuition
ε\varepsilon (Frisch elasticity)Linear, positiveMore elastic workers make larger errors
σ\sigma (misperception std dev)Quadratic, positiveLarger errors cause disproportionately larger losses
τ\tau (marginal rate)Positive via 1/(1τ)1/(1-\tau)Higher rates amplify errors in the net-of-tax wage
whw h^* (earnings)Linear, positiveHigher earners lose more in absolute terms

Optimal tax under misperception

Consider a utilitarian planner choosing τ\tau to maximize average welfare with a balanced-budget demogrant v=τwˉhˉ/Nv = \tau \bar{w} \bar{h} / N. The planner’s problem under perfect information yields the standard equity-efficiency tradeoff. Under misperception, the effective elasticity of the DWL with respect to τ\tau increases, since:

E[DWL]τ>0\frac{\partial \, E[\text{DWL}]}{\partial \tau} > 0

The planner internalizes that a marginal increase in τ\tau raises the DWL from misperception (through the 1/(1τ)1/(1-\tau) term), leading to:

τσ<0\frac{\partial \tau^*}{\partial \sigma} < 0

The optimal tax rate decreases with misperception noise. This is confirmed numerically: the calibration shows τ\tau^* falls from 44.5% to 42.9% when σ\sigma increases from 0 to 0.12.

Cobb-Douglas knife-edge result

For Cobb-Douglas utility U(L,C)=LαCβU(L, C) = L^\alpha C^\beta with leisure L=ThL = T - h and no transfers (v=0v = 0), the optimal leisure is:

L=αTα+βL^* = \frac{\alpha T}{\alpha + \beta}

This is independent of the tax rate. The income and substitution effects of a tax change exactly cancel, so misperceiving τ\tau has no effect on labor supply and hence zero DWL. This knife-edge property motivates the use of quasilinear preferences, which isolate the substitution effect — the empirically relevant channel for tax rate misperception.